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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Minutes of FOMC meeting, speeches of Federal Reserve officials..., and more U.S. shutdown?" Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The US dollar index (DXY) ended with a considerable loss in the region of approximately 97.70 in trading on Friday, accompanied by mixed performance of U.S. yields across periods and ongoing uncertainty about the U.S. shutdown. The results of the August trade balance will be released on October 7, followed by the RCM/TIPP economic optimism index, consumer inflation expectations tracked by the New York Fed, and the American Petroleum Association’s (API) weekly crude oil inventories report. The usual weekly MBA mortgage application will be released on October 8, after the release of EIA's weekly U.S. crude oil inventory report and minutes of FOMC meetings. The usual weekly initial jobless claims will be announced on October 9, followed by wholesale inventory, while the initial value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index will end on October 10.
Euro/USD ended with a substantial gain over the weekend, regaining momentum, although the widespread wait-and-see theme was maintained at the upper range. The HCOB construction PMI in Germany and the euro zone will be released on October 6, followed by retail sales data in the euro zone. Factory orders in Germany will be released on October 7, while industrial production data will be released on October 8. Germany's trade balance results are expected to be released on October 9, while the European Central Bank will release minutes of its September meeting.
The GBP/USD successfully returned to balance and ended the week with an optimistic attitude, breaking away from two consecutive pullbacks. However, it is still difficult to achieve continuous breakthroughs of 1.3500 mark. Standard & Poor's global construction industry PMI and new car sales data will be released on October 6. The Halifax House Price Index and BBA mortgage rates will be announced on October 7. RICS housing price balance will be released on October 9.
The USD/JPY reversed its five-week gains and significantly fell to the central 146.00, with considerable support appearing. Household expenditure, preliminary synchronous index and leading economic index will be released on October 7. Average cash income will be announced on October 8, along with current account results, bank loan data and economic observer surveys. Weekly foreign bond investment data is expected to be released on October 9, followed by Reuters' Tankan index and mechanical tool orders. Japanese producer prices will end their domestic agenda on October 10.
The general recovery of risk lrisu.cnplexity has supported the AUD/USD, ending the week with a strong gain of about 0.6600 after two consecutive declines. The inflation indicator tracked by the Melbourne Institute will kick off the calendar on October 6. Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be released on October 7, while final data on private housing approvals and building permits will be released on October 8. Consumer inflation expectations for the Melbourne Institute are expected to be announced on October 9.
Expected economic outlook: Voice of the outlook
European Central Bank's Lagarde, Dekindos and Ryan will speak on October 6, and Bank of England's Bailey will also speak.
Federal's Bostic, Bowman, Milan and Kashkari will speak on October 7, while European Central Bank's Lagarde will also speak.
Fed’s Mousalem, Barr and Kashkari will speak on October 8, followed by Buch, Elderson, Tuminin and Lagarde of the ECB, and Pier of the Bank of England.
Fed’s Powell will speak on October 9, Bauman and Barr will also speak, and ECB’s Ryan will also speak.
Fed’s Goulsby and Mousalem will speak on October 10, and Australian Reserve Bank’s Brock and Kent will also speak.
Central Bank: The upcoming meeting will affect monetary policy
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will hold a meeting on October 8 (currently 3.00% vs. 2.75%), while the National Bank of Poland (4.75% vs. 4.75% expected) will also hold a meeting.
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